I don’t really take the Oscars seriously, though they are interesting to look at and fun to lambast. This year’s nominees are chock-full of the typical awards-seeking fodder (War Horse, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close) and the usual pleasant surprises (Tree of Life, Gary Oldman) and snubs (DiCaprio, Dunst). These are my picks for this year’s ceremonies, though like I said, I don’t particularly care.

Best Picture
Nominees: War Horse, The Tree of Life, Moneyball, The Artist, Hugo, Midnight in Paris, The Descendants, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close, The Help
Will Win: The Artist. It’s a cute gimmick that should’ve been a short film, but I was sold on it winning as soon as people started bringing up that if it won it’d be the first silent to film to win since the actual Silent Era. Blah blah blah.
Should Win: The Tree of Life was the most ambitious and beautiful film to be released last year, though it was lucky to score a nomination. I also wouldn’t mind seeing Hugo take top honors. It does what The Artist tried to do so much better.
Left out: Melancholia, A Dangerous Method, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy, Certified Copy and Young Adult are all more worthy than most of the nominees.
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